Computer scientist Ian Foster admitted in front of
a few hundred medical physicists that he steered clear of anything to do with
biology or medicine for many years. Hailed as "the father of grid
computing," Foster (shown left) has always been highly focused on computer science and has
subsequently garnered a very impressive resume. But the crowd didn't hold it against him, because recently Foster's had a change
of heart, and says healthcare is presenting many fascinating challenges for
computer scientists.
As the medical community accumulates an ever growing sea of information, data, clinical trials, research, ect. ect. ect....how can the community hope to transform all that information into useful knowledge? In his talk Foster presented a compelling case for a growing theme in the medical community
known as quantitative medicine,which would attempt to answer this question. It starts with computer science.
Thanks to increase computer capabilities, biologists have
been able to construct a map of the human arterial tree, and thanks to lowered
storage costs, gene banks can store tens of billions of base pairs. It's easy to share high resolution images over the internet or through file sharing programs. There's no
doubt medicine has entered the information age.
But, more information does not always mean more knowledge. "We should be thinking about new ways of
knowing," says Foster. He links Aristotle's notion of empiricism (go out and
experience the world if you want to know it), Newtons laws, and more recently
the science of simulations as paradigm changes in ways of knowing. The next link
in that chain, he says, will be finding way to organize and then utilize the vast amounts of data we can obtain.
Quantitative medicine aims to take advantage of the vast
amount of data available, and ultimately use it to promote more individualized medicine. When
doctors diagnose patients based on a set of symptoms, there remains a degree of
qualitative treatment. In this information age there are more ways than ever to
treat patients quantitatively, but that relies on comparing information on a massive
scale.
Foster gives an example of lymphoma. In the 1950's this was diagnosed
as disorders of the blood, and survival rates were very low. Today we know an
incredible amount about the many varieties of this disease, and yet it can
still evade a physician's analysis. 17% of patients with what's known as
Burkitt's lymphoma are misdiagnosed as having diffuse large b cell lymphoma. The
correct treatment for Burkitts have very high success rates; but an incorrect treatment
for diffuse large b cell lymphoma almost always leads to death.
In the case of Burkitt's lymphoma, spectrographs of gene expression in the
patient can indicate which disease the patient is likely to have. There is also
evidence that the two diseases produce different effects in the brain, which
can be detected in brain scans. Imagine if doctors had access to these images
from other Burkitt's patients, which they could then compare with their own
patients. They could reduce or eliminate that 17%
The challenges of establishing an organized, connected data
base of this information are mighty. Namely, this isn't simply a question of
uploading information to a cloud or grid. It would require a more interactive,
closely linked system to connect members of the community with the right
information; to help them find out what information they need. Foster uses this
quote from the NRC Report on Computational
Technology for Effective Health Care: Immediate Steps and Strategic Decisions
(2009): "...have to pay attention to cognitive support...computer-based tools and
systems that offer clinicians and patients assistance for thinking about and
solving problems related to specific instances of health care."
For all this to happen, Foster says small groups within the
health care system need to come together and form virtual organizations (VO's) -
groups with no official affiliation, but who have some agreement about their
desired outcomes and the certainty of those outcomes. These small groups may
begin sharing information, images and data and communicating to figure out the
best ways to utilize the growing database. This will require new channels of
communication from basic research labs, to clinics and up to hospitals.
There are already examples of medical institutions instigating
this kind of system, including the South Side Healthcare Collaborative in
Chicago, the Neuroblastoma Cancer Foundation and the Children's Oncology Grid.
The COG is already sharing images from clinical trials through public servers
that can be accessed by tens or even more than a hundred participants. For the
COG, information is already harder to come by than with adult cancers, so the
sharing program was highly sought after.
But for some groups, this may not be the case. It's true
that one of the most difficult aspects of forming these VO's will finding
incentives for people to participate. The activities required will demand time, resources and money. What's crucial to all these systems is human interaction, either through specialized software or more immeidate contact. "These are human systems," says Foster. Ultimately, the community will have to
make some sacrifices if they hope to have their vast amounts of data mean
anything.
The morning of the President's Symposium, TV's in the hotel
lobby showed news of the continued debate among policy makers over the
proposed health care reform bill. This is one of the largest issues bearing
down on our nation at the moment, and may change the way medical institutions
are linked together. But Foster emphasizes that the change must begin on the
small scale, with small VO's that grow and change and accumulate other groups.
Foster wraps up with a quote from his colleague Alan Kay
(from 1997): "The computer revolution hasn't happened yet." For healthcare, he
says, it still hasn't.