Turning conversations into theorems

Either of two Hungarian mathematicians, Alfr√©d R√©nyi or Paul Erd≈ës, is reputed to have said, “A mathematician is a device for turning coffee into theorems.” The quotation brings to mind solitary toil, but with equal justification you could also say, “Coffee is a device for turning conversations into theorems.”

Artur Ekert, who directs the Centre for Quantum Technologies at the National University of Singapore, evidently believes in coffee’s catalyzing effect. When the center was established three years ago, Ekert insisted that it include a space, the Quantum Café, where staff could meet and exchange ideas over free coffee or tea.

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Ekert’s enthusiasm for social interaction was shared by Fred Hoyle. In the mid 1960s, when he directed the Institute of Astronomy at Cambridge University, Hoyle commissioned a new building. The design sounds boringly simple: little more than a long, one-story box with outward-facing offices on either side of a central corridor. But it was conceived to foster conversation and collaboration. The corridor was deliberately broad; in the center of the building was a large open area for having coffee; and lest the staff fail to meet for coffee, an institute-wide coffee break took place at 11am each weekday.

As a graduate student at the institute, I must have enjoyed a thousand or so coffee breaks. I can’t remember any theorems or ideas those casual conversations produced, so, as evidence of their effectiveness, I’ll have to invoke a substitute (and one that might not have involved coffee; I can’t be sure):

In 1950, while working at Los Alamos National Laboratory, the physicist Enrico Fermi had a casual conversation while walking to lunch with colleagues Emil Konopinski, Edward Teller and Herbert York. The men discussed a recent spate of UFO reports and an Alan Dunn cartoon facetiously blaming the disappearance of municipal trashcans on marauding aliens.

The conversation, quoted here from Wikipedia, prompted Fermi to estimate over lunch the likelihood that Earth had been visited by aliens, given the size of our galaxy, the number and age of its stars, and other physical constraints. After concluding that aliens must have dropped by many times, he asked his lunch partners, “Where are they?” Fermi’s question became the basis of a field of inquiry known as the Fermi paradox.

I can’t claim to have founded a field, but I can say that the idea for this blog entry came to me yesterday while drinking an espresso in the Quantum Café.

Charles Day

Supporting the right industries

Earlier this month at a housewarming party in Long Beach, California, I met Mike Rivas, the vice president of admissions at Laguna College of Art and Design (LCAD) in nearby Laguna Beach. As a location for an art school, Laguna Beach makes sense. The town has an unusually high number of shops that sell paintings, sculptures, and other art. But at the risk—which I willingly take—of being thought a snob, I have to say the art on sale in Laguna Beach is vulgar, unicorns-in-the-surf dross.

Thus prejudiced, I was worried that Mike’s students learn how to increase the supply of pictures of fluffy kittens and dayglow Hawaiian sunsets. I was utterly wrong. Mike explained that LCAD is famous for its programs in animation and game art. The college has strong ties to the movie and computer gaming industries. Its graduates are in high demand.

I was reminded of LCAD last week when I read an account of a surprisingly frank discussion that China’s Premier Wen Jiabao participated in in New York City. Wen was in town for a United Nations’ conference on eliminating world poverty, but the remark of his that lodged in my brain was about iPads.

Wen complained that even though Chinese factories make the popular tablet computer, they earn only $6 per unit. Apple nabs the lion’s share, because it sells the device and because it designed it. Other, presumably non-Chinese companies earn money when iPad owners buy attractively designed apps from Apple’s iTunes store.

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This week I’m in Singapore visiting labs and facilities funded by the country’s Agency for Science, Technology, and Research (A*STAR is the slick abbreviation). Like China, Singapore has a thriving high-tech manufacturing base. Half the world’s disk drives are made here. Through A*STAR and its sister agencies, the island’s government establishes effective and profitable links between academic research and industry.

Singapore’s government and its advisers have already learned Wen’s iPad lesson. To ensure future prosperity, it’s not enough to make expensive high-tech gadgets that sell by the million. You have to design them too. In two years’ time, Singapore University of Technology and Design will admit its first students.

Funding and promoting ties between academia and industry is worthwhile—provided you choose the right industries.

Charles Day

My picks for this year’s Nobel Prizes

The timing of the Nobel Prize announcements is awkward for a monthly like Physics Today. In that first week of October, the magazine’s editors are finishing their stories for the November issue. If you want to read Physics Today‘s coverage of the prizes, you’ll have to wait for the December issue.

But Physics Today‘s website faces no such awkwardness. By 5:30am on Monday, 4 October, I’ll have breakfasted and I’ll be ready to respond to the medicine prize. If the prize goes to, say, functional MRI, positron emission tomography, or radiation therapy, I’ll start reporting and writing.

As it happens, I don’t think the Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine, to use its full, official name, will go to medical physics. My hunch is that 2010 will be the year of the drug. My pick to win is Akira Endo of Daiichi-Sankyo Co, a Japanese pharmaceutical company. In the 1970s Endo discovered the class of cholesterol-lowering drugs called statins. According to one estimate, statins have cut the death rate from heart disease by 42%.

Physics is the next prize to be announced, on Tuesday, 5 October. This year, I hope Alain Aspect wins for his 1982 experiment that demonstrated that what Einstein called spooky action at a distance is a natural feature of the universe. At that time, I was an undergraduate at Imperial College. I can’t remember if the lecturers incorporated Aspect’s experiment into their presentations. They did, however, stress that quantum mechanics had passed all its tests, despite the counterintuitive manifestations of its mathematical underpinnings.

Wednesday is chemistry’s turn. Predicting the winners is hard because the Swedish Academy of Sciences’ selectors evaluate contributions to the vast field of molecular biology, as well as to chemistry’s traditional divisions of inorganic, organic, and physical. I like the chances this year of Sumio Iijima, Andre Geim, and Kostya Novoselov. In 1991 Iijima discovered how to make one-dimensional carbon (carbon nanotubes); in 2004 Geim and Novoselov discovered how to make two-dimensional carbon (graphene). In my view, both carbon nanotubes and graphene have proven to be more interesting and more useful than carbon’s zero-dimensional variant, the buckyball.

The date for the announcement of the literature prize hasn’t been scheduled, but if it took place on Thursday, it would not have to share the media spotlight with another prize. Given that Joseph Conrad, Franz Kafka, Henrik Ibsen, Marcel Proust, Leo Tolstoy, Henry James, and James Joyce could have won, but didn’t, while Selma Lagerlˆf, Rudolf Christoph Eucken, and Elfriede Jelinek did win, the Swedish Academy’s selection criteria are mystifying. Still, I’d like to see Mario Vargas Llosa win. His 1969 magnum opus Conversation in the Cathedral covers Peruvian society and politics in the 1950s. The novel’s narrative moves back and forth across time in an initially challenging but ultimately natural structure. The novel is skillful, thought-provoking, and moving.

The peace prize is announced on Friday. My nomination: President Ma Ying-jeou of Taiwan for improving relations between Taiwan and China. The body of water that separates the two countries is only 140 km wide, yet until Ma took office, direct flights between Taipei and the mainland were not allowed. Other significant and symbolic rapprochements have taken place under Ma’s government, although China’s Taiwan-facing missile banks remain deployed. Whether you want the two Chinas to reunify or remain separate, the warming of their relations constitutes a major boost to world peace.

We have to wait until Monday, 11 October, to learn who has won the economic sciences Nobel. This year could be the turn of economic geography—that is, the study of how location influences prosperity and other manifestations of economic activity. I set myself a deadline of today—a week before the physics prize is announced—to write this entry. In that time, I haven’t identified a must-win economic geographer, but Brian Berry seems deserving.

Charles Day

For the greatest benefit to mankind?

In establishing his prizes, Alfred Nobel wanted to reward science that brought, in the words of his will, “the greatest benefit to mankind.” In justifying the billions spent on research, scientists argue that they are also benefiting people—either directly by developing, say, new vaccines or indirectly by advancing our knowledge of the universe and its contents.

Given those high goals, what are we to make of the science practiced by Algordanza AG? The company, which is based in Domat/Ems, Switzerland, produces “qualitative high-grade certified diamonds out of the ashes of your beloved deceased in memory to their unique and wonderful life.”

The conversion process entails heating the chemically purified ash to 2500 °C and subjecting it to a pressure of 6 gigapascals. Depending on how much boron the deceased had ingested, the resulting gem may be clear and colorless or clear and blue.

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I learned about Algordanza from a story in today’s issue of the Straits Times, Singapore’s venerable English-language newspaper. (I’m visiting Singapore this week to tour facilities funded by the country’s Agency for Science, Technology and Research, A*STAR.) Reporter Ang Yiying centered her story on Madam Chin Siat Ngo, who paid Algordanza’s partner in Singapore SG$9399 (about US$7250) to make a diamond from the ashes of her late sister Mee Ngo. The two sisters had lived together for 62 years until February, when Mee Ngo succumbed to a fatal stroke.

Madam Chin had the 0.41-carat blue diamond set in the center of a cross-shaped pendant. She’s evidently pleased and proud of her memorial jewel. In her case, science brought her the benefit not of a cure or knowledge, but of comfort.

I don’t know whether Nobel had comfort or happiness in mind when he wrote his will. He might have, if he’d read John Locke’s An Essay Concerning Human Understanding. In words that would be echoed 86 years later by Thomas Jefferson, Locke asserted: “The highest perfection of intellectual nature lies in a careful and constant pursuit of true and solid happiness.”

Charles Day

How I was like a Nigerian high-school girl

Five years ago the Statistical Research Center of the American Institute of Physics conducted a web-based survey of women physicists around the world. The survey coincided with the second International Conference on Women in Physics, which was convened in Rio de Janeiro by the International Union of Pure and Applied Physics.

AIP’s Rachel Ivie and Stacy Guo put together the survey. Their goal was to discover women physicists’ “educational backgrounds, careers, the balance between work and family, and opinions about physics as a career.”

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I found the survey fascinating. More than 1350 women responded from 70 countries. Asked when they decided to become a physicist, 60% replied “in high school”—just like me! Asked why they decided to become a physicist, 85% replied “interest in the subject”—just like me!

I grew up in Conwy, a small town in North Wales. Discovering that I decided to become physicist at the same stage of life and for the same reason as a woman from, say, Lagos, Nigeria, gave me a comforting sense of global togetherness. It also made me wonder about role models. If high-school girls from Albania to Venezuela are enthralled by physics as a subject, do they need role models to convince them to pursue physics as a career?

Maybe not. But if Albania, Venezuela, or any other country wants to boost the number women physicists, then Rachel and Stacy’s survey suggests governments should put more priority on helping those keen young women stay physicists. Subsidizing child care would help women physicists (and, of course, mothers who aren’t physicists and fathers).

Providing that benefit is a matter of resource allocation. Democracies have established procedures for balancing competing claims on the public purse. But the survey revealed a source of discouragement that, while costing nothing to remedy, is more pernicious. Eighty percent of respondents said men’s attitudes to women in physics should be improved.

If that high figure isn’t shocking enough, consider the following quote, which I extracted from the survey. The anonymous respondent comes from a country, Finland, that was the first in the world to give all its adult citizens, men and women, the vote:

I belong to [the] new generation of female physicists and I don’t need to face the problems my predecessors had to face during their undergraduate or graduate years. Nevertheless my gender will always have some influence on my life via the behavior of my colleagues or via the opinions of others. . . . It is sometimes annoying to be treated first as a woman and after that as a physicist.

Charles Day

Fireflies are turning on earlier than they used to

François Villon ended each stanza of a particular poem with “Mais où sont les neiges d’antan?” (“But where are the snows of yesteryear?”) The plaintive line has proven so resonant that its fame exceeds the poem’s.

Knowing only the famous refrain, I’d always presumed that the poem was about past winters. I’d also wondered whether Villon lived during the Medieval Warm Period, a three-century span of elevated temperatures in Europe that began in 950 AD.

In fact, the poem, which bears the title “Ballade des dames du temps jadis” (“Ballad of the Ladies of Times Past”), laments past women, real and mythological. Their finite, virtuous lives had long ended but remained in Villon’s mind like a long-remembered snowfall.

Villon himself was born in Paris around 1431, the year when one of his “snows,” Joan of Arc, was executed in Rouen. The photo shows actor Ronald Colman, on the right, as Villon in the 1938 movie, If I Were King.

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By 1431 a period of lower than normal temperatures had Europe in the grip of what has been called the Little Ice Age. If Villon had chosen to write literally, not metaphorically, about past winters, he would likely have lamented their lost mildness, not their lost snowfalls.

Villon’s poem—or rather my erroneous extrapolation it—had me thinking about how I and other people perceive the effects of climate change. I was born in 1962, four years after Charles Keeling began monitoring atmospheric carbon dioxide from the summit of Hawaii’s Mauna Kea. In 1958 the concentration was 315 parts per million by volume. Now, it’s 385 ppmv.

My longest string of memories tied to one place corresponds to my 20 years in Washington, DC. In that time, the summers have seemed to become hotter and the winters have seemed to become milder. Indeed, this past summer was the hottest on record, but the winter that preceded it was the snowiest.

My strongest personal perception of climate change concerns fireflies. They now start to appear in the city’s residential streets in late May, a month earlier than I seem to recall when I first arrived in DC in 1990. Maybe I should write a poem.

Poetry aside, such personal perceptions matter. Mitigating the effects of climate change will require people to use fossil fuels far more sparingly. They might be more willing to pay for those mitigations if they knew, from their personal experience, that Earth is getting worryingly warmer.

Charles Day

How many US college football players major in physics?

As you might expect, the Wall Street Journal has a small sports department. But despite its modest size, the department is often more interesting than those of the other newspapers I subscribe to, the Redskins-obsessed Washington Post and the Yankees-obsessed New York Times.

For example, in today’s WSJ, David Biderman reasoned that

because college athletes occasionally do things other than play football, practice football, watch football and play football video games, we decided to go through the media guides of every major-college football team to see what these guys study.

Biderman and his team found 1104 student footballers whose majors were disclosed. The four most popular majors were business (155 students), sociology (134), communications (108), and liberal arts (103). The least popular, with one student apiece, were Spanish and philosophy. Physics scored zero.

Having seen thousands of physicists thronging at meetings of the American Physical Society, I can confidently generalize that most of us don’t look like football players. Still, achievement in athletics and physics are not mutually exclusive.

When he was an undergraduate at Peterhouse, the oldest and smallest of Cambridge University’s constituent colleges, William Thomson won the university’s single sculling championship.

Thomson became a great physicist. He is better known as Lord Kelvin, the title bestowed on him by Queen Victoria. I couldn’t find a picture of Thomson in a single scull. But to give you an idea of what he might have looked like in his rowing prime, here’s the reigning Olympic single sculls champion, Olaf Tufte of Norway.

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Charles Day

When the facts change

Once during the Great Depression, someone accused the economist John Maynard Keynes of abandoning his former views on monetary policy, his specialty. With characteristic wit he replied, “When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, Sir?”

Keynes’s retort would barely raise an eyebrow in the world of science. Whatever physicists thought before 1887 about the existence of the ether, they would, at the very least, have had to adjust their views after Albert Michelson and Edward Morley’s decisive experiment in that year.

Indeed, scientists are so used to giving up cherished theories in the face of contradictory experiments that they sometimes forget that nonscientists are less deferential toward facts. A study published recently in the Journal of Risk Research underlines that difference.

The study’s authors—Dan Kahan of Yale University, Hank Jenkins-Smith of the University of Oklahoma, and Donald Braman of the George Washington University—set out to discover the extent to which people’s political values influence their confidence in climate change experts.

Survey respondents were given a questionnaire to establish which of two core political philosophies they adhered to: individualism or egalitarianism. They were also asked to rate the credibility of experts who were either skeptical or sure that mankind is causing Earth’s climate to warm up.

The National Science Foundation funded the study and issued a press release, which summarized the results in this way:

In the study, subjects with individualistic values were over 70 percentage points less likely than ones with egalitarian values to identify the scientist as an expert if he was depicted as describing climate change as an established risk. Likewise, egalitarian subjects were over 50 percentage points less likely than individualistic ones to see the scientist as an expert if he was described as believing evidence on climate change is unsettled.

Study results were similar when subjects were shown information and queried about other matters that acknowledge “scientific consensus.” Subjects were much more likely to see a scientist with elite credentials as an “expert” when he or she took a position that matched the subjects’ own cultural values on risks of nuclear waste disposal and laws permitting citizens to carry concealed guns in public.

The results didn’t surprise me. In the eyes of the general public, science isn’t special; the question of whether global warming is happening isn’t qualitatively different from the question of whether drugs should be legalized? Facts and values are involved in both questions, but in answering them, nonscientists weigh values more.

Charles Day

Port and skepticism

In a previous post, I tackled the topic of molecular gastronomy, but I neglected to mention one of the field’s key components: skepticism.

When they founded molecular gastronomy, Nicholas Kurti and Hervé This advocated applying a scientist’s skepticism to the preparation of food. Just because a dish has always been prepared by following more or less the same classic recipe, you don’t have to accept that the recipe is beyond amendment or reform.

Of the several ways the cooks among you can improve a recipe, simplification is perhaps the easiest. For instance, if you google a recipe for Hollandaise sauce, you’ll find, as the top hit, the following instructions:

Vigorously whisk the egg yolks and lemon juice together in a stainless steel bowl and until the mixture is thickened and doubled in volume. Place the bowl over a saucepan containing barely simmering water (or use a double boiler,) the water should not touch the bottom of the bowl. Continue to whisk rapidly. Be careful not to let the eggs get too hot or they will scramble. Slowly drizzle in the melted butter and continue to whisk until the sauce is thickened and doubled in volume. Remove from heat, whisk in cayenne and salt. Cover and place in a warm spot until ready to use for the eggs benedict. If the sauce gets too thick, whisk in a few drops of warm water before serving.

Through experimentation, I’ve found you can make the sauce by first combining all the ingredients at once and shaking them up in an old jam jar. Next, pour the mixture into a double boiler and whisk to tangy, spicy, eggy perfection.

A skeptical approach also brings benefits to the enjoyment of wine. Vintage port is at its best after the wine has spent at least a decade in the bottle. In that time, molecules in the wine crystallize and precipitate. Port drinkers remove—or, rather, exclude—the resulting gritty sludge by decanting.

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Decanting is easy when a bottle has been sitting in the cellar beneath your dining room. But what if you want to transport your port? My godmother faced that problem when she and my mother visited my wife and me. She decanted a bottle of Warre’s ’77 into an empty wine bottle, stoppered the bottle with a cork, then took the bottle on board her flight from London to Washington, DC. (This was before TSA restrictions on liquid carry-ons.)

The port was superb. When I faced the same challenge one subsequent Thanksgiving, I wondered if I really needed to pre-decant the wine. Granted, it takes a decade for a precipitate to form, but surely—the physicist in me reasoned—it takes far less time for a precipitate to settle in the bottom of a bottle. I decided to risk it.

On the drive from DC to Maryland’s Eastern Shore, the gritty sludge in my bottle of Warre’s ’80 doubtlessly dispersed throughout the liquid. But after the bottle had stood on a mantle for a day, the wine was easy to decant—and just as easy to enjoy.

Charles Day

Lunch with the head of the National Nuclear Security Administration and the under secretary of state for arms control

Last Friday at the Fairmont Hotel in downtown Washington, DC, I was among a group of reporters who’d been invited to a lunchtime question-and-answer session with Thomas D’Agostino, the head of the National Nuclear Security Agency, and Ellen Tauscher, the under secretary of state responsible for arms control and international security affairs.

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In case you didn’t know, NNSA was founded 10 years ago in the wake of the Wen Ho Lee affair. In 1998, Lee, a nuclear weapons designer at Los Alamos National Laboratory, downloaded restricted data to his home computer. The US government accused Lee of handing over top-secret material to a foreign power, presumably China. If found guilty, Lee would have spent the rest of his life in prison.

The government dropped the charges because of lack of evidence, but the security breach and others that came to light prompted the government to create a separate nuclear security agency within the Department of Energy. The department retains overall responsibility for the development and manufacture of America’s nuclear arsenal, whereas the NNSA, according to its website

plays a critical role in ensuring the security of our Nation by maintaining the safety, security, and effectiveness of the US nuclear weapons stockpile without nuclear testing; reducing the global danger from the proliferation of nuclear weapons and materials; providing the US Navy with safe and effective nuclear propulsion; and providing the Nation with an effective nuclear counterterrorism and incident response capability.

The Fairmont, which I hadn’t visited before, put on a good lunch in its Sulgrave Suite. I especially liked the fresh pea soup. Soon after we reporters had been fed and watered, D’Agostino arrived with his agency’s deputy director of public affairs, Jennifer Wagner, and a man in a US Navy uniform who didn’t introduce himself. Tauscher was on speaker phone.

Senior government officials are typically busy. Not many of them enjoy talking to reporters. If Tauscher and D’Agostino made time in their schedules to meet us, it must have been to get some sort of message out. Sure enough, D’Agostino opened the proceedings by noting US policy on nuclear weapons had recently attained a rare degree of clarity under President Obama. That clarity, said D’Agostino, was reflected in Obama’s Nuclear Posture Review, his 2011 budget request for the NNSA, and in the agency’s so-called 1251 report, which looks at problems 10 years ahead.

Tauscher, who had to leave early, spoke next. Her main concern was Senate ratification of New START, a nuclear weapons treaty that Obama and his Russian counterpart Dmitry Medvedev signed five months ago in the Czech capital Prague.

With a tone of exasperation in her voice, Tauscher noted that senators have had plenty of opportunity to scrutinize the treaty. She cited 24 hearings and 19 official questions for the record. Asking for more time, as some Republican senators have done, was “political posturing.” Tauscher presumably knows of what she speaks. Before she joined the state department, she represented California’s tenth district as a Democrat.

“Political posturing” doesn’t seem inaccurate. The Associated Press has just reported that Senator Richard Lugar (R-IN), who supports New START, is working on provisos to the treaty resolution that would mollify Republican holdouts. Such unilateral provisos, whether attached by the US Senate or the Russian Duma, are not part of the already agreed-on treaty. They really do amount to little more than posturing for domestic consumption.

In the Q&A session one reporter—I think it was someone from Bloomberg—asked Tauscher if there was any political cost to opposing prompt ratification of New START. Unfortunately, she couldn’t cite any.

Charles Day